2/01/2023
Gold demand grew by 18% to 4,741 tons in 2022, the highest demand in 11
years, according to data compiled by the World Gold Council.
Massive central bank purchases coupled with strong retail investor buying
and slowing outflows from ETFs drove overall demand higher.
Gold demand last year was on par with 2011, "a time of exceptional
investment demand," according to the WGC.
Central banks bought 1,136 tons of gold last year. It was the
second-highest level of net purchases on record dating back to 1950. It was
the 13th straight year of net central bank gold purchases.
Central banks added 417 tons of gold to their reserves in Q4, bringing the
total in H2 to 862 tons. This was due to a combination of reported buying
by central banks in Turkey, India, Uzbekistan, and many other emerging
markets, along with an estimate for significant unreported buying. Central
banks that often fail to report purchases include China and Russia. Many
analysts believe China is the mystery buyer stockpiling gold to minimize
exposure to the dollar.
Meanwhile, the Chinese central bank officially waded back into the gold
market after going silent in 2019. The People’s Bank of China reported
62-ton purchases in both November and December, raising its total gold
reserves to over 2,000 tons for the first time.
According to the World Gold Council, there are two main drivers behind
central bank gold buying - its performance during times of crisis and
its role as a long-term store of value.
It's hardly surprising then that in a year scarred by geopolitical
uncertainty and rampant inflation, central banks opted to continue adding
gold to their coffers and at an accelerated pace."
Investment demand for gold was also strong in 2022, totaling 1,107 tons, a
10% increase year-on-year.
According to the WGC, "The need for wealth protection in the global
inflationary environment remained a primary motive for gold investment purchases."
The World Gold Council summed up the dueling narratives in the investment
market.
As well as underlying support from geopolitics, gold investment was
impacted by a combination of multidecade high inflation, especially in
Western markets, and the resultant aggressive rate hikes by the Fed and
other central banks. Bar and coin investors focused on the former and
sought the safety of gold as a hedge against inflation. In contrast, gold
ETF investors reduced their holdings, especially in the second half,
focusing on gold's rising opportunity cost as central banks across the
globe imposed hefty rate hikes and the US dollar surged."
Now that the COVID-19 production disruptions and widespread China safety
stoppages of 2021 have reversed, this lack of production growth gives
further credence to claims that gold production is close to
plateauing."
Here's how the World Gold Council summed up gold's performance in 2022.
Gold's diverse uses, in jewelry, technology and by central banks and
investors, mean different sectors of the gold market rise to prominence at
different points in the global economic cycle. This diversity of demand and
self-balancing nature of the gold market underpin gold's robust qualities
as an investment asset."
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