Above is the 2016 electoral result
Reader comment: (It's Not just being ahead in the polls, the Demoncrats are working on Voter Fraud and a Coup.
Plus, we Have to Win the people back from their Deranged Demonic Marxist, Muslim Anti-America & Family Hate, Anti-Christian & Jewish Hate, etc. By Countering their Endless Lies with the Truth. And Reforming the Corrupted Extremely Subversive Schools, Colleges, Churches, Media, Hollywood, Government, etc.......J
In 2016 Trump received 306 electoral votes. (See map above) Barring a "yuge" catastrophe I believe Trump will add the states below to his 2016 electoral count.
In 2016 Trump received 4% of the independent vote. A recent sampling of registered independent voters reflected that Trump was carrying 8% of registered indepent voters in the following states: Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, Maine and Pennsylvania. Consequently I feel this 8% is "Yuge" for Trump and I have added Colorado to Trump's electoral vote tally.
In 2016 Trump received 4% of the independent vote. A recent sampling of registered independent voters reflected that Trump was carrying 8% of registered indepent voters in the following states: Colorado, Florida, North Carolina, Maine and Pennsylvania. Consequently I feel this 8% is "Yuge" for Trump and I have added Colorado to Trump's electoral vote tally.
Stony Brook
University professor Helmut Norpoth, who has correctly predicted five out of
six elections since 1996, said “The Primary Model gives Trump a 91% chance of
winning in November.” Norpoth’s model, which he curated in
1996, calculates the winning candidate based on early presidential nominating
contests and placing an emphasis on how much enthusiasm candidates are able to
generate early in the nominating process.
“The terrain of presidential contests
is littered with nominees who saw a poll lead in the spring turn to dust in the
fall,” Norpoth said.
The model places Biden at a significant
disadvantage due to losses in his party’s first two presidential nominating
contests in Iowa and New Hampshire. The professor added the model, which
predicted Trump’s win in 2016, worked partially by discounting opinion surveys.
“Polls and poll-based forecasts all
handed Hillary Clinton a certain victory,” Norpoth said.
A number of polls
have Biden well in the lead. RealClearPolitics gave
Biden a 7.8% lead over Trump in June, a more than 2% gain since May.
FiveThirtyEight has Biden’s lead within a tight band of 8.9 to 9.6 percentage
points since mid-June.
However, in Norpoth’s model, not only
will the president be re-elected, but he will expand his margin in the
electoral college from 304 electoral votes in 2016 to 362 in 2020.
ELECTORAL VOTES
2016 electoral vote 306
Colorado 9 newly added
Oregon 7
Nevada 6
New Mexico 5
Minnesota 10
Maine 4
New Hampshire 4
Total 351
Most importantly, though, is physical evidence. The signage
on lawns and rallies of 2016 pointed to the outcome. Even today, with the lack
of massive rallies, a state like Pennsylvania shows "Trump" signs
spread throughout the state. Traveling through the state recently, a friend of mine saw a
massive amount of "Trump" signs. He saw exactly ONE Biden sign. You
read that correctly. As always with most states, the Dems hope to overwhelm the
rest of the states by dubious turnout in the cities.
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