Donald Trump has announced his
intention to build a gigantic anti-ballistic missile system to counter Chinese
and Russian nuclear weapons, and he is recruiting Elon Musk to help him. The
Pentagon has long dreamed of constructing an American “Iron Dome.” The
technology is couched in the defense language – i.e., to make America safe
again. But like its Israeli counterpart, it would function as an offensive
weapon, giving the United States the ability to launch nuclear attacks anywhere
in the world without having to worry about the consequences of a similar
response. This power could upend the fragile peace maintained by decades of
mutually assured destruction, a doctrine that has underpinned global stability
since the 1940s.
A New Global Arms Race
Washington’s
war planners have long salivated at the thought of winning a nuclear
confrontation and have sought the ability to do so for decades. Some believe
that they have found a solution and a savior in the South African-born
billionaire and his technology.
Neoconservative
think tank the Heritage Foundation published a video last year stating that Musk might have
“solved the nuclear threat coming from China.” It claimed that Starlink
satellites from his SpaceX company could be easily modified to carry weapons
that could shoot down incoming rockets. As they explain:
Elon Musk has proven that you can put microsatellites into
orbit, for $1 million apiece. Using that same technology, we can put 1,000
microsatellites in continuous orbit around the Earth, that can track, engage
and shoot down, using tungsten slugs, missiles that are launched from North
Korea, Iran, Russia, and China.”
Although
the Heritage Foundation advises using tungsten slugs (i.e., bullets) as
interceptors, hypersonic missiles have been opted for instead. To this end, a
new organization, the Castelion Company, was established in 2023.
Castelion is
a SpaceX cutout; six of the seven members of its leadership team and
two of its four senior
advisors are ex-senior SpaceX employees. The other two advisors
are former high officials from the Central Intelligence Agency, including Mike
Griffin, Musk’s longtime friend, mentor, and partner.
Castelion’s
mission, in its own words, is to be at the cutting edge of a new global arms
race. As the company explains:
Despite the U.S. annual defense budget exceeding those of
the next ten biggest spenders combined, there’s irrefutable evidence that
authoritarian regimes are taking the lead in key military technologies like
hypersonic weapons. Simply put – this cannot be allowed to happen.”
The company
has already secured gigantic contracts with the U.S. military, and reports suggest that it
has made significant strides toward its hypersonic missile goals.
War and Peace
Castelion’s
slogan is “Peace Through Deterrence.” But in reality, the U.S. achieving a
breakthrough in hypersonic missile technology would rupture the fragile nuclear
peace that has existed for over 70 years and usher in a new era where
Washington would have the ability to use whatever weapons it wished, anywhere
in the world at any time, safe in the knowledge that it would be impervious to
a nuclear response from any other nation.
In
short, the fear of a nuclear retaliation from Russia or China has been one of
the few forces moderating U.S. aggression throughout the world. If this is
lost, the United States would have free rein to turn entire countries – or even
regions of the planet – into vapor. This would, in turn, hand it the power to
terrorize the world and impose whatever economic and political system anywhere
it wishes.
If this
sounds fanciful, this “Nuclear Blackmail” was a more-or-less official policy of
successive American administrations in the 1940s and 1950s. The United States
remains the only country ever to drop an atomic bomb in anger, doing so twice
in 1945 against a Japanese foe that was already defeated and was attempting to
surrender.
President
Truman ordered the destruction of Hiroshima and Nagasaki as a show of force,
primarily to the Soviet Union. Many in the U.S. government wished to use the
atomic bomb on the U.S.S.R. President Truman immediately, however, reasoned
that if America nuked Moscow, the Red Army would invade Europe as a response.
As
such, he decided to wait until the U.S. had enough warheads to completely
destroy the Soviet Union and its military. War planners calculated this figure
at around 400, and to that end—totaling a nation representing one-sixth of the
world’s landmass—the president ordered the immediate ramping up of production.
This decision
was met with stiff opposition among the American scientific community, and it
is widely believed that Manhattan Project scientists, including Robert J. Oppenheimer himself,
passed nuclear secrets to Moscow in an effort to speed up their nuclear project
and develop a deterrent to halt this doomsday scenario.
In the end,
the Soviet Union was able to successfully develop a nuclear weapon before the
U.S. was able to produce hundreds. Thus, the idea of wiping the U.S.S.R. from
the face of the Earth was shelved. Incidentally, it is now understood that the
effects of dropping hundreds of nuclear weapons simultaneously would likely
have sparkedvast
firestorms across Russia, resulting in the emission of enough smoke to choke
the Earth’s atmosphere, block out the sun’s rays for a decade, and end
organized human life on the planet.
With
the Russian nuclear window closing by 1949, the U.S. turned its nuclear arsenal
on the nascent People’s Republic of China.
The U.S. invaded China
in 1945, occupying parts of it for four years until Communist forces under Mao
Zedong forced both them and their Nationalist KMT allies from the country.
During the Korean War, some of the most powerful voices in Washington advocated
dropping nuclear weapons on the 12 largest Chinese cities in response to China
entering the fray. Indeed, both Truman and his
successor, Dwight D. Eisenhower,
publicly used the threat of the atomic bomb as a negotiating tactic.
Routed on the
mainland, the U.S.-backed KMT fled to Taiwan, establishing a one-party state.
In 1958, the U.S. also came close to
dropping the bomb on China to protect its ally’s new regime over control of the
disputed island – an episode of history that resonates with the present-day
conflict over Taiwan.
However,
by 1964, China had developed its own nuclear warhead, effectively ending U.S.
pretensions and helping to usher in the détente era of good relations between
the two powers—an epoch that lasted well into the 21st century.
In
short, then, it is only the existence of a credible deterrent that tempers
Washington’s actions around the world. Since the end of the Second World War,
the United States has only attacked relatively defenseless countries. The
reason the North Korean government remains in place, but those of Libya, Iraq,
Syria, and others do not, is the existence of the former’s large-scale
conventional and nuclear forces. Developing an American Iron Dome could upset
this delicate balance and usher in a new age of U.S. military dominance.
Nuking Japan? OK. Nuking Mars?
Even Better!
Musk,
however, has downplayed both the probability and the consequences of nuclear
war. On The Lex Friedman Podcast, he described the likelihood of a terminal
confrontation as “quite low.” And while speaking with Trump last year, he claimedthat nuclear
holocaust is “not as scary as people think,” noting that “Hiroshima and
Nagasaki were bombed, but now they are full cities again.” President Trump
agreed.
According to
the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons, there are over 12,000 warheads in the world, the vast majority of
them owned by Russia and the United States. While many consider them a blight
on humanity and favor their complete eradication, Musk advocates building
thousands more, sending them into space, and firing them at Mars.
Musk’s
quixotic plan is to
terraform the Red Planet by firing at least 10,000 nuclear missiles at it. The
heat generated by the bombs would melt its polar ice caps, releasing carbon
dioxide into the atmosphere. The rapid greenhouse effect triggered, the theory
goes, would raise Mars’ temperatures (and air pressure) to the point of
supporting human life.
Few
scientists have endorsed this idea. Indeed, Dmitry Rogozin, then-head of
Russian state space agency Roscosmos, labeled the
theory completely absurd and nothing more than a cover for filling space with
American nuclear weapons aimed at Russia, China, and other nations, drawing
Washington’s ire.
“We
understand that one thing is hidden behind this demagogy: This is a cover for
the launch of nuclear weapons into space,” he said. “We see such attempts, we
consider them unacceptable, and we will hinder this to the greatest extent
possible,” he added.
The
first Trump administration’s actions, including withdrawing from multiple
international anti-ballistic missile treaties, have made this process more
difficult.
Elon and the
Military-Industrial-Complex
Until he
entered the Trump White House, many still perceived Musk as a radical tech
industry outsider. Yet this was never the case. From virtually the beginning of
his career, Musk’s path has been shaped by his
exceptionally close relationship with the U.S. national security state,
particularly with Mike Griffin of the CIA.
From
2002 to 2005, Griffin led In-Q-Tel, the CIA’s venture capitalist wing. In-Q-Tel
is an organization dedicated to identifying, nurturing, and working with tech
companies that can provide Washington with cutting-edge technologies, keeping
it one step ahead of its competition.
Griffin
was an early believer in Musk. In February 2002, he accompanied Musk to Russia,
where the pair attempted to purchase cut-price intercontinental ballistic
missiles to start SpaceX. Griffin spoke up for Musk in government meetings,
backing him as a potential “Henry Ford” of the tech and military-industrial
complex.
After
In-Q-Tel, Griffin became the chief administrator of NASA. In 2018, President Trump
appointed him the Under Secretary of Defense for Research and Engineering.
While at NASA, Griffin brought Musk in
for meetings and secured SpaceX’s big break. In 2006, NASA awarded the company
a $396 million rocket development contract – a remarkable “gamble,” in
Griffin’s words, especially as it had never launched a rocket. National
Geographic wrote that
SpaceX “never would have gotten to where it is today without NASA.” And Griffin
was essential to this development. Still, by 2008, both SpaceX and Tesla Motors
were in dire straits, with Musk unable to make payroll and assuming both
businesses would go bankrupt. It was at that point that SpaceX was saved by an
unexpected $1.6 billion NASA contract for commercial cargo services.
Today,
the pair remain extremely close, with Griffin serving as an official advisor to
Castelion. A sign of just how strong this relationship is that, in 2004, Musk
named his son “Griffin” after his CIA handler.
Today, SpaceX
is a powerhouse, with yearly revenues in the tens of billions and a valuation of
$350 billion. But that wealth comes largely from orders from Washington.
Indeed, there are few customers for rockets other than the military or the
various three-letter spying agencies.
In 2018,
SpaceX won a contract
to blast a $500 million Lockheed Martin GPS into orbit. While military
spokespersons played up the civilian benefits of the launch, the primary reason
for the project was to improve America’s surveillance and targeting
capabilities. SpaceX has also won contracts with the Air Force to deliver its
command satellite into orbit, with the Space Development Agency to send tracking
devices into space, and with the National Reconnaissance Office to launch its spy
satellites. All the “big five” surveillance agencies, including the CIA and the
NSA, use these satellites.
Therefore,
in today’s world, where so much intelligence gathering and target acquisition
is done via satellite technology, SpaceX has become every bit as important to
the American empire as Boeing, Raytheon, and General Dynamics. Simply put,
without Musk and SpaceX, the U.S. would not be able to carry out such an
invasive program of spying or drone warfare around the world.
Global Power
An example of
how crucial Musk and his tech empire are to the continuation of U.S. global
ambitions can be found in Ukraine. Today, around 47,000 Starlinks operate
inside the country. These portable satellite dishes, manufactured by SpaceX,
have kept both Ukraine’s civilian and military online. Many of these were
directly purchased by the U.S. government via USAID or the Pentagon and
shipped to Kiev.
In its
hi-tech war against Russia, Starlink has become the keystone of the Ukrainian
military. It allows for satellite-based target acquisition and drone attacks on
Russian forces. Indeed, on today’s battlefield, many weapons require an
internet connection. One Ukrainian official told The Times
of London that he “must” use Starlink to target enemy forces via thermal
imaging.
The
controversial mogul has also involved himself in South American politics. In
2019, he supported the U.S.-backed overthrow of socialist president Evo
Morales. Morales suggested that
Musk financed the insurrection, which he dubbed a “lithium coup.” When directly
charged with his involvement, Musk infamously replied, “We will coup whoever we
want! Deal with it!” Bolivia is home to the world’s largest lithium reserves, a
metal crucial in producing batteries for electric vehicles such as the ones in
Musk’s Tesla cars.
In Venezuela
last year, Musk went even further, supporting the U.S.-backed far-right
candidate against socialist president Nicolás Maduro. He even went so far as to
suggest he was working on a plan to kidnap the sitting president. “I’m coming
for you Maduro. I will carry you to Gitmo on a donkey,” he said, referencing
the notorious U.S. torture center.
More
recently, Musk has thrown himself into American politics, funding and
campaigning for President Trump, and will now lead Trump’s new Department of
Government Efficiency (DOGE). DOGE’s stated mission is to cut unnecessary and
wasteful government spending. However, with Musk at the helm, it seems unlikely
that the billions of dollars in military contracts and tax incentives his
companies have received will be on the chopping block.
At Trump’s
inauguration, Musk garnered international headlines after he gave two Sieg Heil
salutes – gestures that his daughter felt were unambiguously Nazi. Musk – who comes
from a historically Nazi-supporting family – took
time out from criticizing the reaction to his salute to appear at a
rally for the Alternative für Deutschland Party. There, he said that Germans
place “too much focus on past guilt” (i.e., the Holocaust) and that “we need to
move beyond that.” “Children should not feel guilty for the sins of their
parents – their great-grandparents even,” he added to raucous applause.
The
tech tycoon’s recent actions have provoked outrage among many Americans,
claiming that fascists and Nazis do not belong anywhere near the U.S. space and
defense programs. In reality, however, these projects, from the very beginning,
were overseen by top German scientists brought over after the fall of Nazi
Germany. Operation Paperclip transported more than 1,600 German scientists to
America, including the father of the American lunar project, Wernher von Braun.
Von Braun was a member of both the Nazi Party and the infamous elite SS
paramilitary, whose members oversaw Hitler’s extermination camps.
Thus,
Nazism and the American empire have, for a long time, gone hand in hand. Far
more disturbing than a man with fascist sympathies being in a position of power
in the U.S. military or space industry, however, is the ability the United
States is seeking for itself to be impervious to intercontinental missile
attacks from its competitors.
On
the surface, Washington’s Iron Dome plan may sound defensive in nature. But in
reality, it would give it a free hand to attack any country or entity around
the world in any way it wishes – including with nuclear weapons. This would
upend the fragile nuclear peace that has reigned since the early days of the
Cold War. Elon Musk’s help in this endeavor is much more worrying and dangerous
than any salutes or comments he could ever make.
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