Bad
trending voting news for Comeallah:
Comeallah
is slipping in critical “swing” states independent voters are the likely key:
Wisconsin, Michigan and Arizona. See the data below.
https://www.270towin.com/
Your Watchman is currently projecting Trump with 296 electoral votes, 270 are needed to win.
By the way, the only presidential poll your Watchman trusts is the Quinnipiac poll. It has a long term historical accuracy.
WISCONSIN
https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/10/14/wisconsin-2024-trump-harris-polls-latest-surveys-show-trump-with-slight-edge/
Oct. 16, 2024
Please
note: Complete Poll results and methodology information can be found online
at law.marquette.edu/poll
MILWAUKEE – A new
Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds that in the race for president,
Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris is the choice of 48% and Republican
former President Donald Trump is the choice of 47% among likely voters, with 4% saying they would vote
for someone else and 1% who would not vote for president.
When those who would
vote for someone else or not vote are asked whom they would support if they had
to choose between Harris or Trump, Harris and Trump each receive 50% among likely
voters.
When the ballot
question explicitly includes independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.,
Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver, Green Party candidate Jill Stein, and
independent Cornel West, Harris
receives 44% and Trump 41%. Kennedy is supported by 9%, Oliver receives 2%,
Stein is the choice of 1%, and West wins 2%, among likely voters.
Kennedy, who suspended his campaign, and the other third-party candidates are
not on all state ballots.
https://www.marquette.edu/news-center/2024/national-survey-finds-presidential-race-extremely-tight-enthusiasm-voting-high-democrats-republicans-low-independents.php
Swing State Poll 2024:
Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin: Blue Wall Shows Cracks As Race Tightens
PENNSYLVANIA: Harris 49%, Trump 46%, other candidates 2%
MICHIGAN: Trump 50%, Harris 47%, other candidates 2%
WISCONSIN: Trump 48%, Harris 46%, other candidates 2%
Less than
a month until Election Day, the so-called Blue Wall battleground states of
Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin show a tight presidential race where
neither Vice President Kamala Harris nor former President Donald Trump is
winning as all three states are too close to call, according to Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-
pea-ack) University polls of likely voters in each of the states released
today.
In Quinnipiac University's September 18
poll, Harris held a lead in Pennsylvania, a slight lead in Michigan, and the
race was essentially tied in Wisconsin.
"That was then, this is now. The Harris post-debate starburst dims to a glow as Harris enters the last weeks slipping slightly in the Rust Belt,"said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
HARRIS VS. TRUMP: THE ISSUES
Likely
voters were asked who they think would do a better job handling seven issues...
The economy:
PA: 49 percent say Trump, while 47 percent say Harris;
MI: 53 percent say Trump, while 45 percent say Harris;
WI: 53 percent say Trump, while 44 percent say Harris.
Immigration:
PA: 50 percent say Trump, while 46 percent say Harris;
MI: 53 percent say Trump, while 44 percent say Harris;
WI: 52 percent say Trump, while 44 percent say Harris.
Preserving democracy in the United States:
PA: 44 percent say Trump, while 50 percent say Harris;
MI: 49 percent say Trump, while 48 percent say Harris;
WI: 47 percent say Trump, while 48 percent say Harris.
Abortion:
PA: 37 percent say Trump, while 55 percent say Harris;
MI: 40 percent say Trump, while 52 percent say Harris;
WI: 39 percent say Trump, while 53 percent say Harris.
The conflict in the Middle East:
PA: 47 percent say Trump, while 46 percent say Harris;
MI: 53 percent say Trump, while 43 percent say Harris;
WI: 51 percent say Trump, while 44 percent say Harris.
As Commander in Chief of the U.S. military:
PA: 48 percent say Trump, while 48 percent say Harris;
MI: 52 percent say Trump, while 46 percent say Harris;
WI: 51 percent say Trump, while 45 percent say Harris.
A crisis that put the country at great risk:
PA: 46 percent say Trump, while 49 percent say Harris;
MI: 52 percent say Trump, while 46 percent say Harris;
WI: 49 percent say Trump, while 47 percent say Harris.
"The widening threat of a war encompassing the Middle East elbows its way into the long list of issues both candidates would confront the day they are sworn in, with Trump ahead on this issue in Wisconsin and Michigan,"added Malloy.
SHARED VALUES
Likely voters were asked who they think most shares their values...
PA: 44 percent say Trump, while 50 percent say Harris;
MI: 49 percent say Trump, while 47 percent say Harris;
WI: 48 percent say Trump, while 48 percent say Harris.
"Three critical states take the measure of two candidates on the values that define who they are and how they align with voters. In a telling sign, the answers reflect the overall race with voters in Pennsylvania giving Harris the upper hand while voters are split in Michigan and Wisconsin,"added Malloy
PENNSYLVANIA: PRESIDENTIAL RACE, Comeallah slipping
In Pennsylvania, 49 percent of likely
voters support Harris, 46 percent support Trump, and Green Party candidate Jill
Stein and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver each receive 1 percent
support.
This compares to September when Harris
led with 51 percent support, Trump received 45 percent support, and Stein and
Oliver each received 1 percent support.
In
today's poll, Democrats 94 - 4 percent support Harris, while Republicans 90 - 9
percent support Trump. Among independents, 47 percent support Trump, 43 percent
support Harris, and 3 percent support third- party candidates (2 percent
support Stein and 1 percent support Oliver).
In a
hypothetical two-way race, Harris receives 49 percent support and Trump
receives 47 percent support.
PENNSYLVANIA: FRACKING
Forty-seven percent of likely voters
think Trump would do a better job handling fracking, while 45 percent think
Harris would do a better job handling fracking.
https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3913
MICHIGAN: PRESIDENTIAL RACE, Comeallah is slippimg
In Michigan, 50 percent of likely
voters support Trump, 47 percent support Harris, and Libertarian Party
candidate Chase Oliver and independent candidate Cornel West each receive 1
percent support.
This compares to September when Harris
received 50 percent support, Trump received 45 percent support, and Green Party
candidate Jill Stein received 2 percent support.
In
today's poll, Republicans 96 - 3 percent back Trump, while Democrats 98 - 1
percent back Harris. Independents are divided, with 48 percent supporting
Trump, 46 percent supporting Harris, and 3 percent supporting independent or
third-party candidates (2 percent support West and 1 percent support Oliver).
In a
hypothetical two-way race, Trump receives 51 percent support and Harris receives
47 percent support.
WISCONSIN: PRESIDENTIAL RACE, Comeallah slipping here also.
In Wisconsin, 48 percent of likely
voters support Trump, 46 percent support Harris, and Green Party candidate Jill
Stein and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver each receive 1 percent
support.
This compares to September when Harris
received 48 percent support, Trump received 47 percent support, and Stein
received 1 percent support.
In
today's poll, Republicans 95 - 4 percent support Trump, while Democrats 98 - 2
percent support Harris. Independents are split, with 47 percent supporting
Trump, 43 percent supporting Harris, and 3 percent supporting third-party
candidates (2 percent support Stein and 1 percent support Oliver).
In a
hypothetical two-way race, Trump receives 49 percent support and Harris
receives 47 percent support.
October 16, 2024
Swing State Poll 2024: Georgia,
North Carolina: Trump Holds Lead In GA, Harris On Upside Of Tight Race In NC,
Quinnipiac
Election
2024 Swing State Polls: Trump Leads In Arizona And Georgia, Harris Up In North
Carolina (Update)
Key
Facts
Arizona: Trump
leads Harris 51%-48% in a CBS/YouGov poll released
Thursday, after recording a 51%-46% edge in a New York Times/Siena College likely voter poll last
week, while Harris led Trump 47%-45% in last week’s Wall Street Journal poll.
Trump is up 1.6 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.
Georgia: Trump
leads Harris 52% to 45% in a Quinnipiac poll released
Wednesday,
North Carolina: Harris has a two-point lead, 49% to 47%, in the Wednesday Quinnipiac poll.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/10/17/election-2024-swing-state-polls-trump-leads-in-arizona-and-georgia-harris-up-in-north-carolina-update/
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