12 days to Biden "crime family" destruction!
Professor Helmut Norpoth will nail it again in 2020 like he did in 2016. He uses a model rather than polling. He does not feel the PanDEMic will impact the Presidential election. Biden did poorly in the primaries while Trump did very well for a sitting President. Trump also has the advantage as a sitting President. Norpoth believes Trump has a 91% chance of being re-elected.
There is incredible enthusiasm among Trump voers, there is no enthusiasm for "Sleeping Joe". Once again in 2020 the pollsters are missing something. Professor Norpoth's video is below.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fyQNoVitF8k
Below is a sampling of a few working class counties in Ohio, Michigan and Wisconsin. These counties represent what is happening in working class counties in Minnesota, Wisconsin. Ohio, Michigan and Pennsylvania.
White working class people have left the Democratic Party in droves. 68% of Democratic swing voters in Minnesota, Wisconsin. Ohio, Michigan and Pennsylvania are voting with Trump.
Trump won Ohio by 9 points in 2016
ASHTABULA county Ohio
In 2016 the county was 48% Democrat and 41% Republican a 9 point difference.
In 2020 the county is 45% Republican and 42% Democrat a 3 point difference. Democratic support has collapsed.
So if Trump won Ohio by a 9 point in 2016 with a 7 point Democratic edge in 2016 he will kill "Sleepy Joe" with a 3 point Republican advantage in 2020.
Trump won Michigan by .23% points in 2016 47.5% to 47.27%
Macomb county Michigan
In 2016 Macomb county was 40% Democrat and 30% Republican a 10 point Democratic difference.
In 2020 the county is 45% Republican and 41% Democrat a 4 point Republican difference. Once again Democratic support has collapsed.
So if Trump won Michigan by a .23 point in 2016 with a 10 point Democratic edge in 2016 he will kill "Sleepy Joe" with a 4 point Republican advantage in 2020.
Lake county Michigan
In 2016 Lake county was 35% Democrat and 32% Republican a 3 point Democratic difference.
In 2020 the county is 49% Republican and 34% Democrat a dramatic 15 point Republican difference. Once again Democratic support has collapsed.
Trump won Wisconsin by .77% points in 2016 47.22% to 46.45%
In 2016 Kenosha county was 53% Democrat and 34% Republican a 19 point Democratic difference and Trump still won Kenosha county.
In 2020 the county is 46% Democratic and 28% Republican a dramatic 18 point Democratic difference. Once again Democratic support has collapsed by 8% points.
Bottom line, in working class counties in Minnesota, Wisconsin. Ohio, Michigan and Pennsylvania Trump is way ahead. Dems have "walked away" from the Democratic party. See Dr. Steve Turley's video below.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZ-FRAkNFC8
Biden "leaking support" Trump is killing it in Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin. You can start Turley's video at the 8 minute 35 second mark if you wish.
It's the economy stupid!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HtIoS-LxspA
Republican women; suburban women like the Amy Coney Barrett pick for SCOTUS.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MobHZQ6sfJQ
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